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USD/IDR Price Analysis: Refreshes six-month high on the break of medium-term trendline

  • USD/IDR stays positive above 200-day SMA, key resistance line (now support).
  • August month’s tops are on the bulls’ radars.
  • Overbought RSI might trigger the pair’s pullback.

USD/IDR currently takes the bids to 14,270, up 0.83%, following its fresh six-month top of 14,324 marked during the early Friday. That said, the pair recently crossed a downward sloping trend line from April 2019 while also extending its run-up beyond 200-day SMA.

Even so, overbought RSI conditions are challenging any further upside, which if ignored could push the buyers towards August 13 high around 14,370.

Given the Bulls’ dominance past-14,370, August 2019 high near 14,580 and tops marked in May 2019, around 14,660, will be in the spotlight.

On the contrary, the pair’s pullback moves below the resistance-turned-support line of 14,240 can highlight the 200-day SMA level of 14,060 and 14,000 for sellers.

Should there be a further decline below 14,000, the early-month top near 13,830 can return to the charts.

USD/IDR daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

 

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